What the gold breakout actually told us
Everyone called it a breakout. The volume profile said distribution. Here is how to tell the difference before the retrace.
Written by mentors managing live funded accounts. Trade breakdowns, playbooks, and the occasional post-mortem on a week that went badly.
9 articles
Everyone called it a breakout. The volume profile said distribution. Here is how to tell the difference before the retrace.
Most reversion setups die on a release. This one defines invalidation before the number prints, so you are never guessing.
We pulled the journals of 240 failed evaluations. In 71% of them the fatal trade was larger than the trader's own average.
You cannot predict the number. You can predict which levels matter once it lands, and that is the tradable part.
Partial exits feel disciplined and usually are not. We ran the maths on 4,100 trades from funded accounts.
US30 and US100 decoupled for eleven sessions. If you were hedging across them, your risk was double what you thought.
Entering two candles late looks harmless in the journal. Across a quarter it removed 0.3R from the average trade.
Four decisions in five days. What to size down, what to skip, and which sessions are worth showing up for.
Spotting the sweep is the easy part. Without an invalidation level and a size rule, you have an observation, not an edge.
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